Ecosystem approach to assessing the impact of climate change on fisheries
https://doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2022-0-2-21-34
Abstract
Climate change is one of the most serious challenges facing humanity. Among the many challenges posed by climate change is the growing global redistribution of natural goods. This process, the consequences of which are not fully understood and evaluated, among other things, leads to the transformation of economic relations and affects the well-being of people. The purpose of the paper is an economic assessment of the consequences of climate change. The focus of the study is how climate-driven change in one of the components of natural capital, fish resources, affects fisheries activities, value creation and well-being. The basic idea is the principle of the interconnectedness of well-being with the stability of complex socio-ecological and economic systems, of which fishing is a part. The methodological basis is the provisions of the theory of inclusive growth. We use the fisheries in the Baltic Sea as an example and conclude that if current trends continue, the loss in welfare in this region is expected to exceed the physical change in fish stocks caused by climate change.
About the Authors
A. G. Mnatsakanyan
INOTECU FGBOU VO "KSTU"
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Albert G. Mnatsakanyan
Kaliningrad
V. I. Kuzin
INOTECU FGBOU VO "KSTU"
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Vladimir I. Kuzin
Kaliningrad
A. G. Kharin
INOTECU FGBOU VO "KSTU"
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Aleksandr G. Kharin
Kaliningrad
References
1. FAO (1995) Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries. Retrieved from https://www.fao.org/3/v9878e/v9878e00.htm
2. Agarwala М., Atkinson G., Baldock C. & Gardiner, B. (2014). Natural capital accounting and climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4, 520-522.
3. IPCC (2021). Climate Change 2021.The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
4. Nelson E. J., Kareiva P., Ruckelshaus M. [et al.] (2013). Climate change's impact on key ecosystem services and the human well-being they support in the US. Front Ecol Environ, 11 (9), 483-893.
5. Hanley N., Dupuy L. & McLaughlin E. (2015). Genuine savings and sustainability. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29 (4), 779-806.
6. Dasgupta P. (2014). Measuring the wealth of nations. Annual Rev of Res Econ, 6, 17-31.
7. Mendelsohn R. & Dinar A. (2009). Climate Change and Agriculture: An Economic Analysis of Global Impacts, Adaptation, and Distributional Effects. Edward Elgar Publishing.
8. Fisher I. (1906). The nature of capital and income. Norwood, MA: Norwood Press.
9. Barbier E. B. (2014). Account for depreciation of natural capital. Nature, 515, 32-33.
10. Hotelling H. (1931). The economics of exhaustible resources. The Journal of Political Economy, 39 (2), 137-175.
11. Arrow K. J., Dasgupta P., Goulder L. H. [et al.] (2012). Sustainability and the measurement wealth. Environ Devel Econ, 17, 317-353.
12. Fenichel E. P., Gopalakrishnan S. & Bayasgalan O. (2015). Bioeconomics: nature as capital. In R. Halvorsen & D. Layton (Eds), Handbook on the Economics of Natural Resources. (рp. 165-205). Edward Elgar.
13. Pinsky M. L. & Fogarty M. J. (2012). Lagged social-ecological responses to climate and range shifts in fisheries. Climatic Change, 115, 883-891.
14. Dailidienė I., Baudler H., Chubarenko B. & Navrotskaya S. (2011). Long term water level and surface temperature changes in the lagoons of the South and East Baltic. Oceanologia, 53, 293-308.
15. Bukanova T. V., Stont J. I., Gushchin O. A. (2015). Sea surface temperature variability in the South-East Baltic according to MODIS data. Modern problems of remote sensing of the Earth from space, 12 (4), 86-96. (In Russ.)
16. Gushchin A. V., Fedorov V. E. (2017). The current state of commercial ichthyofauna of the southern part of the Baltic Sea as a result of anthropogenic impact. Scientific notes of the Russian State Hydrometeorological University, 49, 134-144. (In Russ.)
17. Pedchenko A. P., Boitsov V. D. (2020). Peculiarities of long-term climate dynamics and its influence on the distribution and harvesting of herring fish species in the Baltic Sea. Proceedings of VNIRO, 180, 44-59. (In Russ.)
18. Eremina T.R. et al. (2014) Impact of climate change on marine natural systems. Baltic Sea / The second assessment report of Roshydromet on climate change and its consequences on the territory of the Russian Federation. Under total ed. A. V. Frolova. Moscow: Roshydromet, p. 615-643. (In Russ.)
19. Portner H. & Knust R. (2007). Climate change affects marine fishes through the oxygen limitation of thermal tolerance. Science, 315, 95-97.
20. Behrenfeld M. J., Malley R. T., Siegel D. A. [et al.] (2006). Climate-driven trends in contemporary ocean productivity. Nature, 444, 752-755.
21. Caswell H. (2001). Matrix population models: construction, analysis, and interpretation, 2nd edn. Sunderland, MA: Sinauer.
22. World Bank (2010). World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change. Washington, DC. World Bank. Retrieved from https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/4387
23. Ivanov O. A. (2017). Change of paradigms in management of fishery: from conception to realization? Izvestiya TINRO, 190 (3), 3-17. (In Russ.)
Review
For citations:
Mnatsakanyan A.G., Kuzin V.I., Kharin A.G. Ecosystem approach to assessing the impact of climate change on fisheries. Baltic Economic Journal. 2022;(2(38)):21-34. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2022-0-2-21-34
Views:
18
Email this article 