Approaches to forecasting financial crises in the Russian Federation
https://doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2022-0-3-57-64
Abstract
Based on the main proxy indicators and analysis of their numerical values over the past 50 years, including the periods of the USSR and modern Russia, the article identifies the main turning points and crisis points for the country's economy. The study of these indicators builds a statistical model for their forecasting and determines the possible recessions of the economy, which are the points of reference for financial capital.
About the Authors
K. A. Evstafiev
Kaliningrad State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Evstafiev Konstantin Aleksandrovich – cand. economy Sciences, Associate Professor at INOTEKU
Kaliningrad
D. A. Mnatsakanyan
Kaliningrad State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Mnatsakanyan David Albertovich – master's student
Kaliningrad
References
1. Khavina S. A. Crisis in the economy // Great Russian encyclopedia / ch. ed. Y. S. Osipov. - Moscow: Great Russian Encyclopedia, 2004-2017. In Russ.).
2. Bulletin of the socio-economic crisis in Russia. 2016 https://ac.gov.ru/files/publication/a/8353.pdf (In Russ.).
3. UISIS. State statistics https://fedstat.ru/ (In Russ.).
4. Investments in Russia. 2019: Stat.co. / Rosstat. - Moscow, 2019. 228 p. https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Invest_2019. pdf (In Russ.).
5. The World Bank. Russian Federation data. https://data.worldbank.org/country/russian-federation (In Russ.).
6. UnData. Database http://data.un.org/Default.aspx (In Russ.).
Review
For citations:
Evstafiev K.A., Mnatsakanyan D.A. Approaches to forecasting financial crises in the Russian Federation. Baltic Economic Journal. 2022;(3(39)):57-64. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2022-0-3-57-64
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