MATHEMATICAL, STATISTICAL AND INSTRUMENTAL METHODS IN ECONOMICS
Econometric models of time dynamics of change are developed on the example of three indicators of economic security and sustainable development of the Kaliningrad region, econometric models establishing the relationship between the base indicator and two factor indicators, as well as a comparative assessment of these models on the accuracy of predicting future values. The numerical values of the time series of the considered economic indicators are analyzed. A comparative assessment of the feasibility of using the estimated parameters of GRP with life expectancy and GRP parameters with Gini coefficient for forecasting future values of the analyzed regression dependencies is carried out. Based on the obtained assessment, the graphs of dependence of the estimated parameters with the predicted values and their actual values for different time intervals are given. The choice of the most acceptable equation for forecasting the estimated parameters for the next year is substantiated. The possibility of using additive and multiplicative two- factor models of the relationship between its values and the predicted values of average duration and Gini coefficient for forecasting gross regional product per capita is evaluated.
REGIONAL AND SECTORAL ECONOMY
A brief historical and economic overview of the main stages of the development of the construction industry of the Kaliningrad region in the period from 1946 to 1991 was carried out.
Based on materials from open sources published by Rosstat in the Kaliningrad region, an analysis of the efficiency of production activities of enterprises in the field of capital construction, production of building materials and staffing was carried out.
As a result of the analysis, it was found that in the construction sector in the field of planning and management, despite the accumulated experience, there is a contradictory situation. Twice in the period under review, the construction industry experienced ups and downs in its development due to both objective and subjective reasons.
In general, with sufficiently large volumes of construction, plans for the industry to reach the planned parameters of housing commissioning at the turn of the 90s were not destined to come true due to the political events in our country.
The article analyzes the prospects for the development of basic pricing in the Russian market of agricultural crops. In the world practice of the agricultural market for traders, there are two factors that, as a result, are decisive for the final price of a commodity this is an exchange quotation and a basis. The analysis of the phenomenon of the basis in the world market and the possibility of its adaptation to domestic realities is carried out. The question is raised about the possibility of using the wheat index of the National Commodity Exchange of the Moscow Exchange Group as a stock quotation in the formula for calculating the basis for the Russian market.
The article considers the financial aspects of the assessment of the production potential of the enterprise. The consideration takes into account that the financial potential of the enterprise is a part of its production potential, as well as the fact that the main way of accounting for the assets of the enterprise, which form the basis of technological and generally production potential is their reflection in the accounting registers and display in the financial statements of the organization. It is proposed to assess the financial potential of the enterprise by analyzing the value of net assets, and the production potential as a whole by analyzing the value of economic value added.
. The article examines the mutual influence of the properties of labor potential and the structural complexity of the sectoral economy. Based on the materials of the study of the labor potential of the Russian fisheries complex, two fundamental factors of its development strategy are identified: the structural complexity of the industry and the labor potential of its employees. An important aspect of this approach is value-based goal setting. Based on the expert assessment, the nature and problems of economic relations between the main subsystems of the industry have been identified. The empirical basis for assessing the labor potential was the results of a survey of employees of the fisheries complex (N-1005).The presented results make it possible to include the assessment of labor potential as a diverse and complex industry object in the practice of management. The level of coordination of economic relations between participants and the labor potential of the industry have a significant impact on the possibility of implementing its development strategy.
This text is aimed at exploring the prospects for the development of a special economic zone (SEZ) in the Kaliningrad region and its role in the development of the region. It examines the historical aspects of the creation of the SEZ, mechanisms for stimulating entrepreneurial activity, as well as strategies for integrating the region into international economic processes. The text also emphasizes the importance of attracting investments and developing various sectors of the economy, including post-industrial ones. In conclusion, practical steps are proposed to stimulate economic growth and ensure the competitiveness of the Kaliningrad region in the current geopolitical situation. Such measures include: 1) increase of port capacities; 2) stimulation of localization of production; development of tourist infrastructure and promotion of the region as a recreational center; creation of a local special economic zone for OT companies.
The state and development of the material and technical base of the production and logistics complex of LLC UK SODRUZHESTVO are considered. The stages, features of the creation and uniqueness of the industrial and economic complex are emphasized. The organizational state of the entire PLC infrastructure complex and its individual components is analyzed. The features of production systems to reduce the impact of negative environmental aspects on the environment, raw materials and products are highlighted. The composition of automated enterprise organization and management systems is analyzed. A logical scheme for the creation and functioning of a single digital contour of the organization and management of the Criminal Code "Commonwealth" is proposed.
FINANCE
Coastal regions are a territorial system located on the sea coast and are socio-economic systems largely related to fishing activities. The specifics of the coastal region are determined by geographical features, but are realized in economic and social manifestations. Thus, the location of the region on the shore of a fishing reservoir creates conditions for fishing enterprises in regional economic and social development. As part of the modern approach to development, it is necessary to ensure its sustainability. In addition, a feature of the current situation is the issue of ensuring social stability at the regional level. An essential element of this is the need to solve problems related to food security in the region. In such a situation, the most adequate approach to ensuring socio-economic development is the ESG approach, which has become widespread in banking institutions to assess the feasibility of lending. The article proposes that the assessment of sustainable development should be based on financial indicators that reflect environmental, social and governance metrics. It is proposed to use financial indicators from a set that characterizes the performance of regional heads. Strategic marine and spatial planning and monitoring of regional environmental management and development are identified as the main tools for achieving and maintaining sustainable development. The calculation of financial indicators characterizing the contribution of fisheries to the development of the coastal regions of Russia was carried out.
The content of a number of scientific publications in the field of problems of agricultural development, state support for agriculture and fisheries is considered. The dynamics of expenditures of various budgets and financing of agriculture, fisheries and fish farming in the country for 2014-2026 is summarized. The parameters of econometric models of the dependence of the budget system's expenditures on agriculture, fisheries and fish farming on the growth of agricultural products are calculated. The correlation parameters of the links between budget support for agriculture and the fish industry with the results of the work of these industries have been revealed. The result of the increase in agricultural production was obtained mainly at the expense of consolidated regional budgets, which is 2 times higher than at the expense of other budgets. The fact of a weak connection between the catch (extraction) of aquatic biological resources and federal budgetary resources allocated to Rosrybolovstvo was noted. It has been established that the price factor is essential for analyzing the dynamics and content of the processes of formation of the natural value proportions of enterprises in the fishing industry. The elasticity of revenue to the volume of extraction of aquatic biological resources is analyzed.
WORLD ECONOMY
The study was conducted in order to determine and analyze the levels and dynamics of economic development of the EU 14 countries (14 countries that became members of the European Union (EU) before May 2004), including the EU 6 countries, Benelux countries, EU 8 countries in 2010, 2016, 2022. The study used a significantly expanded and improved methodology for comparative analysis of the level and changes in the level, dynamics and changes in the dynamics of economic development of countries. The calculation and analysis of comparative assessments of the level and changes in the level, dynamics and changes in the dynamics of economic development of countries made it possible to assess the results of economic development of the studied countries, identify among them the leader countries and outsider countries in terms of the level and dynamics of their economic development. Calculation and analysis of the ratio of max and min values of comparative estimates of the level and changes in the level, dynamics and changes in the dynamics and changes in the dynamics of economic development of the studied countries made it possible to assess the gaps in the level and dynamics of economic development of these countries, to identify groups of EU 14 countries by the smallest and largest gaps in the level and dynamics of economic development, based on the results of the study, the following conclusions were made relevant conclusions.